Saturday, September 14, 2019

Inconvenient Climatic Facts Chronically Neglected part 1

Do you swear to tell the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth…?”[1]

An article on climate change in a recent paper was not news that is useful in resolving debated matters, but merely propaganda.   Titled “Poll: 64% disapprove of Trump’s climate change views,” it lacked a single, solitary, scientific fact in support of global warming (GW) which might indicate the relative merits (or demerits) of either party in this contention.  Instead the writers merely assume the correctness of the GW position and, on the basis of assumptions, commit the begging the question fallacy by berating deniers for their so-called “anti-scientific” worldviews.[1]  In reality, nothing in this article pushing the “climate-change” agenda indicates a commitment to scientific methodology at a level which sharply distinguishes scientific findings from popular opinions, a matter I will address in my closing paragraphs.  To give but one hint here, the mere appeal to scientific “authority” just because many “scientists say so” does not qualify as a scientific fact when no vetted supporting evidence is provided.    

One does not need to be an expert in climatology or even a scientist in another field in order to evaluate the trustworthiness of “climate change” (CC) pronouncements.  The relevant data behind this aspect of CC rest not on obscurities that are confusing to non-specialists,[2] but on substantial climatic events whose evidence, by their public nature, cannot be swept away as if they didn’t happen.  Scientific credibility is indeed wholly compromised when unequivocal evidence is admitted only when it advances a desired agenda.[3]

CCs’ first red flag entails the shifting of their banner term from “global warming” to “climate change.”  Notice that this alteration disables the criteria by which evidence (was it by drought, or blizzard?) is sought to confirm a cause to an ambiguous event.  It also contradicts a core aspect of scientific hypotheses[4] which requires that they all be specific and falsifiable.  Every scientist, irrespective of their perspective on CC, should be expected to already know this.

The second flag concerns their illegitimate omission of relevant data.  The driving force behind CC alarmists isn’t specifically the level of CO2 in the atmosphere, but their allegation of human culpability behind retreating or dead[5] glaciers, melting Arctic ice flows, rising sea levels, and the alleged elevated extinction of animals[6] because of human contribution to the eleva-tion of green-house gasses.  In light of this charge, it is imperative to grasp that around 18,000 years ago a vast portion of Canada lay under 2 vertical miles of the Laurentian Continental Ice Sheet,[7] while southward-extending “tongues” of that same mass, up to 3,000 feet thick, once rested on top of what includes both today’s city of Seattle[8] in the west and the Great Plains and Great Lakes regions to the east.[9]  For the same reason, and correspondingly at the same time, the land “bridge” extending between America and Asia (due to such a massive accumulation of snows lowering the sea levels) permitted human travel between these continents; that is, until the ice-age temperatures reversed upward and caused the sea to re-flood that “bridge.”[10]  Both the (unknown) cause of that upturn in temperature, and its result, were catastrophic.[11]  Yet the authors draw no implications at all as to its bearing on the assertion that CC is human-caused.




[1] By A.P. writers Seth Borenstein, Nicholas Riccardi and Hannah Fingerhut appearing in The Daily American. Somerset, PA, 9/14/2019, p. A 10.
[2] Of course details that are scientifically established can have a vital bearing on climatology with respect to the question of our contribution to climate change.  On this matter, however, it is reasonable for the general public to ask why we aren’t hearing either hard facts or hard statistics.  In addition, the very fact of the “neglect” that I reference in my title serves to heighten the question of the credibility of the evidence that CC proponents do claim to have.  After all, neglectful research in one arena which we can perceive is a sure indication of bias in another.  
[3] Indeed the scientific spirit is so determined to follow evidence where it leads that it seeks to disconfirm the hypothesis under consideration.
[4] A hypothesis is a research plan for determining whether or not the available evidence confirms or excludes one’s theory.
[6] www.climate-change-guide.com/extinction-of-species.html** On the other hand see American Museum of Natural History. www.amnh.org/ dinosaurs-ancient-fossils/extinction. “The largest mass extinction event happened around 250 million years ago when perhaps 95 percent of all species went extinct [while an] … extinction that occurred 65 million years ago wiped out some 50 percent of plants and animals.
[7] https://serc.carlton.edu/vignettes/collection/58451.html
[9] “The Retreat Chronology of the Laurentide Ice Sheet During the Last 10,000 Years and Implications for Deglacial Sea-Level Rise.” serc.carlton.edu/vignettes/collection/58451.html



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